Haɗin gwiwar otal na duniya ya fito yayin da COVID-19 ke ci gaba

Matsakaicin raguwar kudaden shiga na otal na duniya da ayyukan ribar da aka nuna a cikin bayanan Maris, ya ci gaba da faɗuwar sa kyauta a watan Afrilu, wanda ke nuna raguwar raguwar shekara sama da shekara a duk faɗin yanayin aiki. Haɓaka haɓaka a cikin kwatancen YOY yana nuna cewa ma'aunin aikin wata zuwa wata na iya zama abin dogaro sosai wajen bin diddigin sake dawowa yayin Covid-19 zamani, alamun da sannu a hankali ke fitowa daga kasar Sin kuma suna nuna cewa sauran aljihu na duniya wata daya ne daga tashin hankali.

Yayin da shari'o'in duniya na COVID-19 ke ci gaba da hauhawa, masana'antar balaguro tana ɗaukar babban zafi, musamman idan aka waiwayi baya a watan Afrilu, wata da yawancin otal-otal suka kasance a rufe ga baƙi waɗanda, ba tare da la'akari ba, ba su da dakuna masu ƙarfi.

Yawancin yankuna da biranen duniya sun kasance cikin yanayin rufewa, wanda ya yi mummunan tasiri ga lambobin ayyuka. Babban riba mai aiki a kowane ɗakin da ake da shi (GOPPAR) ana tsammanin ya sami raguwar lambobi uku na YOY a cikin yankuna: Amurka (saukar da kashi 122.8%), Turai (ƙasa da kashi 131.9%), Asiya-Pacific (ƙasa da kashi 124.1%), Gabas ta Tsakiya (ƙasa da kashi 115.3%) .

Lambobin wani yanayi ne wanda ya fara a China a watan Fabrairu, bayan rufewar Wuhan a karshen watan Janairu, kuma ana ci gaba da tafiya kamar yaduwa a duk duniya, ba tare da fasa ba.

Halin Amurka

Kodayake da yawa yanzu, ciki har da Shugaba Donald Trump, suna jan hankalin jihohi don sake buɗewa, Afrilu wata ne na kullewa. Matsakaicin ya kasance mai ban tsoro kuma an haɗa shi da kusan 50% raguwar YOY a matsakaicin ƙimar ɗaki, ya haifar da raguwar 95.2% YOY a cikin RevPAR. Babban faɗuwar kuɗin shiga ɗakuna, haɗe tare da sifili F&B riba, ya haifar da jimlar kudaden shiga (TRevPAR) faɗuwar 95% YOY.

Afrilu wata ne na musamman ga New York, cibiyar barkewar cutar ta COVID-19 a cikin Mutuwar Amurka daga cutar da ta tashi a cikin watan; Labari mai dadi shine cewa sabbin shari'o'in sun fara zuwa kusan rabin wata, yanayin da ya ci gaba har zuwa watan Mayu. Otal-otal na birnin New York sun ga GOPPAR ya rushe zuwa $-50.60, raguwar 145.7% akan lokaci guda a bara.

A cewar American Hotel & Lodging Association, kusan kashi 70% na ɗakunan otal ba kowa a cikin Amurka har zuwa 20 ga Mayu; wannan baya ga dubban otal da aka rufe gaba daya. Ga otal-otal ɗin da suka ci gaba da buɗewa, masu gudanar da aiki sun rage ayyuka sosai ta hanyar rufe benayen ɗakin baƙi da wuraren taro da kuma dakatar da ayyukan kantunan F&B. Yayin da aka cire yawancin farashi masu canzawa, wasu ƙayyadaddun farashin sun rage waɗanda canjin zama ko tallace-tallace ba su tasiri ba. Sakamakon ayyuka na baya-bayan nan, jimillar kuɗin da ake kashewa ya ragu da kashi 66.6% na YOY, yayin da jimlar kuɗin aiki ya ragu da kashi 73.5% YOY. Duk kudaden da ba a rarrabawa sun yi ƙasa da kashi biyu na YOY.

Tattalin kuɗi, duk da haka, bai hana riba ba. A cikin wata na biyu a jere, GOPPAR ya juya mara kyau zuwa $-26.34, raguwar 122.8% YOY da 107% fiye da Maris.

Manufofin Ayyukan Riba & Asara - Jimlar Amurka (a cikin USD)

Yanayin Turai

Kamar Amurka, Turai ta kasance cikin ja a cikin Afrilu. A zahiri, lambobin sun yi kama da kamanni. A cikin wata alama mai ban sha'awa, an ba da rahoton cewa sabbin shari'o'in COVID-19 suna faɗuwa a cikin manyan biranen Turai yayin da Tarayyar Turai ke shirin sake buɗewa ga masu yawon bude ido. (Kamfanonin yawon shakatawa na Turai suna da kusan kashi 10% na duk abubuwan da aka fitar na tattalin arzikin EU.) Amma hakan yana faruwa daga baya a wannan bazara kuma ba shi da wani tasiri kan bayanan Afrilu, lokacin da ƙasashe ke cikin kulle-kulle.

Matsakaicin yanki-10% da raguwar kashi 43% na YOY ya haifar da raguwar 95.4% YOY a cikin RevPAR. TRevPAR ya kasance a kashe kashi 93.2% na YOY a cikin ƙarancin kudaden shiga na ƙarin haɗin gwiwa tare da rashin siyar da ɗaki.

Duk da jimillar kuɗin da ake kashewa yana saukowa da kashi 59% na YOY na wata, haɗe tare da raguwar 70.2% na farashin ma'aikata, adadin asarar da aka samu ya haifar da raguwar 131.9% YOY a GOPPAR zuwa €-17.80, wata na biyu a jere na GOPPAR mara kyau. kuma 113% ya karu sama da Maris.

Manuniya na Ayyukan Fa'ida & Asarar - Jimlar Turai (a cikin EUR)

Neman Gabas zuwa APAC

Yayin da gabaɗayan Asiya-Pacific ya kasance cikin baƙin ciki a cikin Afrilu, a China, wasu harbe-harbe na bege sun bayyana.

APAC gabaɗaya yana da ɗan ƙaramin labarin zama idan aka kwatanta da sauran yankuna, wanda ya kai kashi 20% na wata. Har yanzu, RevPAR ya ragu da kashi 83.8% YOY, saboda matsakaicin adadin ɗakin ya ragu da kashi 39% YOY.

TRevPAR kuma ya sha wahala, ya ragu da kashi 83.3% a cikin hasarar YOY na abinci da abin sha, tare da ƙarin kuzarin shiga. Duban kudaden shiga na F&B yana nuna zamewar ƙasa mai sauƙin fahimta, yana bugun $7.85 kowane ɗaki a cikin Afrilu, ƙasa da 86% daga Janairu.

Labarin kashe kuɗin Asiya-Pacific yayi kama da sauran yankuna na duniya. Jimlar kuɗin da ake kashewa ya ragu da kashi 51.3% YOY, yayin da farashin aiki ya ragu da kashi 49.5%. Kudaden kayan aiki sun ragu da kashi 54% na YOY, sakamakon babban kuzarin da ba sai an sha ba.

GOPPAR na watan ya ragu da kashi 124.1% zuwa $-13.92, kusan $3 ya fi na Maris.

Ko da yake Asiya-Pacific gabaɗaya sun nuna lambobin da ke nuni da lokacin, Sin, yayin da har yanzu tana cikin yanayi mara kyau, tana haɓaka sama. A cikin wata na biyu a jere, zama ya tashi, sama da maki 10 sama da Maris (ko da yake har yanzu ya ragu da kashi 44.5 cikin dari YOY).

A duk faɗin hukumar, mahimman alamun aikin sun ga haɓaka haɓaka, gami da TRevPAR, wanda ya nuna haɓakar 73% akan Maris zuwa $30.29.

GOPPAR, a halin da ake ciki, sannu a hankali yana ƙwanƙwasa hanyarsa ta komawa mai kyau. Bayan watan Janairu wanda ya ga GOPPAR akan $20.70, ya juya mara kyau a cikin watanni masu zuwa, farawa da $-28.31 a watan Fabrairu. Koyaya, kowane wata na gaba ya inganta, yayin da Afrilu GOPPAR ke rufewa a $-2.57 — ƙasa da 106.2% YOY, amma haɓaka 90% daga jimlar GOPPAR na Fabrairu kuma 75% ya fi na Maris.

Manufofin Ayyukan Riba & Asara - Jimlar APAC (a cikin USD)

Gabas ta Tsakiya Malaise

Gabas ta Tsakiya ba ta da irin wannan sa'a ta guje wa radadin riba a watan Afrilu. Yayin da zama ya kai kusan kashi 20% na wata, matsakaicin adadin har yanzu ya ragu da kashi 32.8%, wanda ya haifar da RevPAR ya ragu da kashi 83% na YOY. TRevPAR ya ragu da kashi 85.4% YOY, yayin da GOPPAR ya ragu da kashi 115.3% YOY.

Ramadan (Afrilu 23-Mayu 23) bai yi komai ba don inganta aikin otal, saboda ko da sassautawa a cikin watan mai alfarma ya haifar da hauhawar kamuwa da cuta.

A halin da ake ciki kuma, wani mummunan hoto yana fitowa daga Dubai, inda wani bincike na baya-bayan nan da Cibiyar Kasuwancin Dubai ta gudanar ya nuna cewa kashi 70% na kasuwancin Masarautar ana sa ran rufewa cikin watanni shida masu zuwa. Dubai tana ɗaya daga cikin ƙasashe masu rarrabuwar kawuna a cikin Tekun Fasha kuma suna dogaro sosai kan tafiye-tafiye da dalar yawon buɗe ido. A cikin binciken, kusan kashi 74% na kamfanonin tafiye-tafiye da yawon shakatawa sun ce suna tsammanin rufewa a cikin wata mai zuwa kadai.

A watan Afrilu, Dubai ta ga GOPPAR ta ragu zuwa $-31.29, raguwar 122% daidai lokacin da shekara guda da ta gabata.

Manufofin Ayyukan Riba & Asara - Gabas ta Tsakiya Gabas ta Tsakiya (a cikin USD)

Outlook

A wannan lokacin, wasu watanni hudu cikin barkewar cutar, mummunan tasirin COVID-19 da yaduwa ya bayyana a sarari. Don haka, ya kusan kawar da buƙatar auna aikin shekara. Za a auna haɓakawa a cikin matakan jarirai, tare da gabatar da takamaiman shari'a don kwatanta wata-wata, yayin da masana'antar otal ta duniya ke neman gina kanta, otal ɗaya yana buɗewa lokaci guda.

Ba shi kaɗai ba ne a cikin aikin. Yayin da ake sa ran tuƙi zuwa kasuwanni zai haifar da buƙatun nishaɗi na ɗan lokaci kaɗan, farfadowar ɗagawa daga iska zai zama mabuɗin haɓaka masana'antar otal ta duniya. Tambayar - "Idan kun buɗe ta, za su zo?" - yana rataye a cikin ma'auni.

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