Manyan matsalolin jiragen sama suna yin tasiri ga masu jigilar kayayyaki a yankin

Yayin da shugabannin masana'antar ke taruwa a wannan makon a taron shekara-shekara na Regional Airline Assn a Indianapolis, su - da wasu ƙananan al'ummomin da suke hidima - suna da damuwa da yawa.

Amfani da zirga-zirgar jiragen sama na yanki ya karu a cikin shekaru goma, musamman tare da manyan kamfanonin jiragen sama suna neman hanyoyin kasa da kasa don samar da riba da kuma canza yawancin ayyukansu na cikin gida zuwa kananan jiragen sama, a wani bangare don ciyar da zirga-zirga zuwa hanyoyinsu na kasa da kasa. Daga shekara ta 2000 zuwa 2007, karfin gida mai jigilar kayayyaki ya karu da kashi 142% duk da cewa karfin gida na babban layin ya ragu da kashi 4.2%, bisa ga alkaluman FAA, kuma RAA ta lura cewa masu jigilar kayayyaki a yankin yanzu suna da kusan kashi 50% na tashin hidimar cikin gida. RAA ta kuma ce kusan kashi 70% na filayen jiragen saman da aka tsara na hidimar ƙasar suna da sabis daga kamfanonin jiragen sama na yanki kawai.

Amma hakan ba zai iya taimakawa masu jigilar kayayyaki na yanki ko ƙananan al'ummomi ba a yanzu da yanayin masana'antar jiragen sama na yankin Amurka ba ta da tabbas kuma ba ta da tabbas ga manyan dilolin da suka dogara da galibin kasuwancinsu. Manyan masana sun ba da sanarwar rage karfin cikin gida bayan lokacin balaguron bazara, kuma galibin masu lura da masana'antu sun yi imanin cewa za su yi raguwa sosai a lokacin faɗuwar rana (a JP Morgan, manazarta Jamie Baker ya bayyana cewa dole ne masana'antar ta yi nasara. raguwa da kusan 20% don cimma riba). Hatsarin farashin man fetur na yin sama da fadi da manyan jiragen sama na yankin, musamman ma jirage masu saukar ungulu 50, wadanda suka yi hasarar kudade ga yawancin hanyoyin da manyan dillalai suka yi amfani da su, wadanda a mafi yawan lokuta ke mayar wa yankin kudaden man fetur din na wadannan jiragen.

Har ila yau, haɗin gwiwa yana da haɗari: Yawancin manyan kamfanonin jiragen sama suna kwangilar masu jigilar kayayyaki na yanki a babban bangare don tashi hanyoyin ciyarwa zuwa cibiyoyin su, amma haɗin gwiwar zai iya kawar da wasu daga cikin waɗannan cibiyoyin, yana barin kamfanonin jiragen sama da ke neman rage wasu karfin yanki. Bugu da ƙari kuma, ta fuskar hauhawar farashin man fetur, tabarbarewar tattalin arziki da kuma ƙaƙƙarfan kasuwan bashi, ƙarin faɗuwar kamfanonin jiragen sama fiye da saurin tashin gobara da ATA ta yi. Aloha, Skybus da Frontier sun kasance mai yiwuwa - ko da wataƙila, a cewar wasu manazarta masana'antu. Manyan dillalai suna cikin waɗanda ke cikin haɗari: Baker ya lura da masu zuba jari a ranar 23 ga Afrilu cewa "babu koma bayan tattalin arzikin Amurka da ya taɓa kasa haifar da aƙalla fatarar gado ɗaya."

Kuma abin da ya kara dagula wannan cuku-cuwa shine damuwar da masu jigilar kayayyaki a yankin ke da shi game da manufofin gwamnati, kamar gwamnatin Bush masu goyon bayan farashin cunkoso a filayen tashi da saukar jiragen sama, wanda zai iya sanya farashin kananan jiragen sama daga wasu kasuwanni.

A cikin karamin misali na hadarin da yankuna ke fuskanta daga fatarar kudi, Jamhuriyar da Frontier a watan Afrilu sun yi shawarwari kan yarjejeniyar tsagaita bude wuta a hankali nan da 23 ga watan Yuni na jirgin sama mai lamba 12 E170 70 na Jamhuriyar da ke aiki da Frontier a karkashin yarjejeniyar sabis na jirgin sama.

Asarar yarjejeniyar za ta jawo wa jamhuriya dalar Amurka miliyan 6 kudaden shiga a kowane wata, kuma za ta sayar da wadannan jiragen guda 12 tare da wasu biyar da ta yi alkawari ga Frontier ko kuma ta sanya su aiki da wasu dillalai. Ga Jamhuriyar, wannan na iya zama ƙarami. Shugaban, Shugaba / Shugaba Bryan Bedford ya fada a ranar 24 ga Afrilu cewa akwai wadatattun masu siye na kasashen waje da ke nuna sha'awar. Amma halin da ake ciki ya kwatanta haɗarin da ke tattare da duk dillalan yanki ta hanyar fatarar babban mai ɗauka ko babban abokin ciniki.

Masu jigilar kayayyaki na yanki suna da hanyar tsaro ta yadda da yawa daga cikinsu suna cikin kwangiloli na dogon lokaci tare da manyan abokan aikin jigilar kayayyaki wanda zai iya kare su daga mummunan sakamako na shekaru - tsammanin waɗannan abokan haɗin gwiwa sun ci gaba da kasuwanci. Mutane da yawa kuma suna da mafi ƙarancin garantin amfani a cikin ma'amalarsu, yana iyakance nawa manyan manyan za su iya yanke. Duk da haka, har yanzu majors na iya rage yawan amfani da jet na yanki kaɗan, kuma suna iya neman madogara.

A wannan yanayin, yaƙin shari'a na Mesa Air Group tare da Delta Air Lines yana ɗaukar kallo. Kwanan nan ne Delta ta sanar da mayar da jiragen saman kujeru 34 50 zuwa Mesa, bisa zargin Mesa na kammala wani kaso na kaso na jiragen da ya saba wa ka’idojin kwangilar. Mesa ya yi adawa da wannan kuma ya kai karar Delta, yana mai cewa matakin kammala shi ya ragu saboda shawarar da Delta ta yanke game da jiragen Delta Connection na Mesa.

"Idan wani abu, matakin Delta yana nuna niyyar tsakanin yawancin kamfanonin jiragen sama na gado don nisantar da kansu daga zirga-zirgar jiragen ruwa mara riba a duk inda zai yiwu," in ji JP Morgan's Baker ga masu zuba jari.

Michael Boyd, shugaban kamfanin binciken jiragen sama na The Boyd Group mai bincike da kuma tuntuɓar hasashen, ya yi imanin cewa manyan dillalan za su "yi amfani da duk wata hanya mai yiwuwa" don sauke jirgin mai kujeru 50.

"Gaskiya mai wuyar gaske: Akwai jiragen sama masu kujeru 50 fiye da yadda za a iya tashi da tattalin arziki," Boyd ya rubuta a cikin Janairu. "Gaskiya mai wuyar gaske: Wannan yana nufin raguwar adadin masu aiki." Tun daga watan Janairu, Boyd ya fada wa Makon Jiragen Sama & Fasahar Sararin Samaniya a ranar 22 ga Afrilu, lamarin ya kara tabarbarewa, ya kara da cewa, "Wannan bangare ne da sannu a hankali zai ragu."

Gabaɗayan ƙalubalen da ke fuskantar dillalan yanki, duk da haka, ba su shafi kowa daidai da kowa ba. Ɗaya daga cikin fa'ida zai iya zuwa ga dillalan da ke kawar da kujeru 50 don neman manyan jiragen saman yanki waɗanda ke ba da kyakkyawar dawowa, ko da girman su ya sa ba su dace da wasu ƙananan kasuwanni waɗanda ba sa samar da isasshen buƙata.

Jamhuriyar Airways Holdings, alal misali, ya kwashe shekaru da yawa yana nisa daga jet mai kujeru 50, don haka Embraer E-Jets mai kujeru 70-86 yanzu ya kai kusan rabin jiragensa 226. Republic Airways Holdings, wanda ya mallaki Jamhuriyar, Chautauqua da Shuttle America, kuma yana da yarjejeniyar sabis tare da kamfanonin jiragen sama guda biyar ko da asarar Frontier, kuma kawai ya ba da rahoton ribar dala miliyan 20.2 na farkon kwata.

Rasa kasuwancin Frontier, in ji Bedford, misali ne na dalilin da ya sa yake da mahimmanci a yanzu ga mai jigilar kayayyaki na yanki ya sami tushe daban-daban na kudaden shiga - kamar yadda yanayin masana'antar gabaɗaya ke jayayya don mai da hankali mai kama da laser kan kasancewa mafi aminci. da kuma farashi mai inganci na masu jigilar kayayyaki na yanki.

Mesa Air Group, a gefe guda, ana ɗaukarsa mai rauni daga yawancin manazarta duk da cewa yana ɗaya daga cikin manyan yankuna masu zaman kansu a Amurka.

"Muna tsammanin Mesa yana da mahimman batutuwan ruwa, kuma ra'ayinmu ne cewa kamfanin zai iya zama dan takarar fatara a cikin watanni 12 masu zuwa," in ji manazarcin Standard & Poor's Jim Corridore a cikin wani bincike na Afrilu 14 (S&P, kamar AW&ST, shine). naúrar Kamfanonin McGraw-Hill).

Kwangilar Haɗin Delta ta Mesa, in ji shi, ta ƙunshi 19% na jimlar ƙarfin Mesa, kuma yana iya rage farashin kwangilar don maye gurbin kasuwancin da ya ɓace. Mesa kuma yana gudanar da taro na musamman ranar 8 ga Mayu yana neman amincewar masu hannun jari don ba da haja don biyan bashin da ke gabatowa.

Yunkurin SkyWest na kwanan nan don siyan ExpressJet - da kuma haɗin gwiwar Continental a cikin waccan yarjejeniyar da aka tsara - alama ce ta rashin kwanciyar hankali a fannin, da kuma yuwuwar haɗin gwiwar dillalan yankin zai zama hanya ɗaya da suke ƙoƙarin jurewa. SkyWest ya yi shawarwari da sabuwar yarjejeniyar siyan iya aiki tare da Continental don ci gaba da tashi ExpressJet a matsayin Continental Express, amma a cikin ƙananan farashi, idan SkyWest ya sami abokin hamayyarsa. Nahiyar, bi da bi, ta yi gargadin ExpressJet cewa idan ta ci gaba da aiki da kanta kuma ta ƙi bayar da ragi mai kama da haka, Continental na shirin rage kasuwanci tare da dillalan da kusan kashi 25% farawa a watan Disamba na 2009. Yarjejeniyar Nahiyar ta ɗauki mafi yawan kudaden shiga na ExpressJet.

Mike Kraupp, ma'ajin SkyWest kuma mataimakin shugaban kasa na kudi, ya ce ya yi imanin wadannan lokutan kalubale za su ba da dama ga kamfanonin jiragen sama na yankin "wadanda suka fi karfi kuma suna da albarkatu," kamar nasa.

“Akwai wadanda ke cikin masana’antar zirga-zirgar jiragen sama na yankin da ke kokawa. Daga wannan hangen nesa, za mu kalli kowane irin damammaki, ”in ji shi. A cikin ƴan shekaru masu zuwa, ya annabta, "za ku ga ƙarancin 'yan wasan yanki maimakon ƙari."

"Ina tsammanin lokaci ne da mutane za su yi la'akari da inda suke," in ji Kraupp. "Amma muna ɗaukar kanmu masu sa'a, tare da ingantaccen ƙungiyar gudanarwa da albarkatun kuɗi. Mun yi imani mun tsira. Za mu iya zama masu sassaucin ra'ayi kuma mu saba da canji. "

Duk da rashin tabbas na masana'antar, shugaban RAA Roger Cohen ya ce yana da kyakkyawan fata.

“Lokaci ne mai wahala. Dole ne ku yi aiki da hanyar ku, ”in ji shi. Ya kara da cewa, masana'antar zirga-zirgar jiragen sama na yankin ta sake sabunta kanta kamar yadda sharudda suka tabbatar.

"Tare da tsarin kasuwancin da ya bunkasa, musamman tun daga ranar 9 ga Satumba, tare da nagartaccen, inganci, masu tunani sosai ga kamfanonin jiragen sama na yankin da ke aiki da manyan jiragen sama a cikin haɗin gwiwa tare da manyan kamfanonin jiragen sama, mun sami damar ƙirƙira da haɓaka tsarin da Amurka ya dogara da shi,” in ji shi.

Ya ci gaba da cewa "Idan koma bayan tattalin arziki bai yi nasara ba, tsarin kasuwanci yana da inganci." "Idan farashin mai ya ragu kuma tattalin arzikin ya karu kuma muka samar da ababen more rayuwa don biyan bukata, to kamfanonin jiragen sama na yankin sun shirya don taimakawa wajen biyan bukatar da Amurka ke da ita."

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