A cikin fim din 1994 Robert Zemeckis Forrest Gump, jagorar hali Forrest Gump (wanda Tom Hanks ya buga) sanannen ya ce “Mahaifiyata koyaushe tana cewa rayuwa ta kasance kamar kwalin cakulan. Ba za ku taɓa sanin abin da za ku samu ba.”
To, ga yawancin masoya cakulan, "akwatin cakulan" yana gab da zama tsada. Yayi tsada sosai.
Fari a ciki West Africa, wanda shine babban mai samar da koko a duniya, ya haifar da hauhawar farashin kaya, wanda ya kai matsayi mai girma.
Afirka ta yamma ita ce farkon masu samar da wake a duniya. Duk da haka, saboda fari, an sami ƙarancin girbin girbi, wanda ya haifar da karuwar farashin koko.
Isar da koko na Maris a kan Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) a New York ya sami karuwa na ɗan lokaci, wanda ya zarce dala 6,000 a kowace metrik ton yayin ciniki na rana a ranar Juma'a. Duk da haka, daga baya sun ragu kuma sun zauna a kusan $5,880 kowace ton, wanda ya fi girma fiye da rikodin baya na $ 5,379 da aka saita a 1977. Tun farkon shekarar da ta gabata, farashin koko ya ninka kusan ninki biyu.
Ana danganta hauhawar farashin kwatsam da rashin isassun amfanin gona a Cote d'Ivoire da Ghana, kasashen biyu ne ke da kashi 66% na noman koko a duniya. Kasashen biyu sun shafe watanni da dama suna fama da matsalar sauyin yanayi da bullar cutar kwafsa koko.
Jirgin ruwan koko daga Cote d'Ivoire ya ragu da kusan kashi 39% idan aka kwatanta da shekarar da ta gabata tsakanin Oktoba 2023 da Fabrairu 2024, jimlar metric ton miliyan 1.04, kamar yadda Euronews ta ruwaito. Hakazalika, kayayyakin da ake fitarwa daga Ghana sun samu raguwar kusan kashi 35% zuwa metric ton 341,000 daga watan Satumba na shekarar 2023 zuwa watan Janairun 2024. A cewar wani binciken jin ra'ayin kan koko da kamfanin dillancin labarai na Reuters ya gudanar a baya-bayan nan, ana hasashen gibin koko a duniya zai kai tan 375,000 a lokacin noma na yanzu. .
Ana hasashen farashin wake zai ci gaba da tashi yayin da kwararrun masana'antu ke nuna barazanar da ake ci gaba da samu ga wadatar duniya daga lamarin yanayi na El Nino. Wannan lamarin ya haifar da fari a yammacin Afirka daga Yuli zuwa Satumba 2023 kuma ana hasashen zai ci gaba har zuwa akalla Afrilu.
Masu kera cakulan sun yi gargadin cewa kara kashe waken koko zai iya kai su ga mika wadannan kari ga kwastomomi. A lokacin wani kiran da aka samu kwanan nan, Michele Buck, Shugabar Hershey, wani fitaccen kamfanin sayar da kayan zaki na Amurka, ta bayyana cewa tana hasashen za a iya hana samun karuwar samun kudin shiga a shekarar 2024 saboda farashin koko da ba a taba yin irinsa ba, wanda ke haifar da hauhawar farashin kayayyakinsu.
Buck ya tabbatar da cewa za su yi amfani da duk hanyoyin da ake da su, gami da farashi, don kula da kasuwancin. Mondelez, kamfanin da ya mallaki Cadbury, shima yayi taka tsantsan game da haɓaka farashi a matsayin zaɓi na ƙarshe don kula da kashe kuɗi. Paul Davis, shugaban kungiyar Cocoa ta Turai (ECA), kwanan nan ya yi gargadin cewa kasuwar koko ta duniya za ta kasance cikin takura na karin watanni 18 zuwa shekaru uku.
"Muna cikin ma'auni sosai. Babu wani sojan doki da ke zuwa ceto,” shugaban ECA ya kara da cewa.