Yadda Lambobin Balaguro na Balaguro ke Hasashen Ingantacciyar Sakamakon Yawon shakatawa

Duk da cewa mafi kwanan nan Rahoton kwata-kwata daga Hukumar Kula da Balaguro ta Turai (ETC) yana nuna munanan lambobi, har yanzu ana kallon wannan a matsayin wani nau'i na farfadowa. Ta yaya hakan zai yiwu?

A cikin 2022, masu zuwa yawon buɗe ido na ƙasa da ƙasa zuwa Turai ana hasashen za su kasance 30% ƙasa da juzu'i na 2019, wanda ke samun goyan bayan balaguron gida da na ɗan gajeren lokaci. Ana hasashen balaguron cikin gida zai murmure sosai a cikin 2022, yayin da ba a sa ran balaguron ƙasa zai wuce matakan 2019 har zuwa 2025.

Ta yaya wannan ke nuna juriya ga yawon buɗe ido na Turai?

A taƙaice dai ana sa ran cewa harkokin yawon buɗe ido na Turai za su ci gaba da farfadowa a shekarar 2022, duk da cewa a hankali fiye da yadda ake fata a baya. Rahoton na ETC yana sa ido kan tasirin cutar ta COVID-19 da kuma iskar tattalin arziki da siyasa na yanzu, kuma duk da kasancewarsa a cikin mummunan yanki, bayanan shekara zuwa yau na Q1 2022 sun nuna cewa a duk wuraren da ake ba da rahoto, an kiyasta masu isa zuwa 43. % raguwa akan ma'auni dangane da 2019.

Wannan haƙiƙa haɓaka ne kan raguwar kashi 60% da aka gani a kwata da ta gabata. Sabiya (-11%) da Turkiyya (-12%) ne suka bayar da rahoton komawar mafi sauri dangane da bayanai zuwa Fabrairu. Sauran wuraren da ake murmurewa cikin sauri bisa bayanai zuwa Fabrairu-Maris 2022 sune Bulgaria (-18%), Austria (-33%), Spain da Monaco (duka -34%), da Croatia (-37%).

Luís Araújo, Shugaban ETC, Luis Araujo, ya ce: “A yayin da ake fama da cutar, sashin yawon shakatawa na Turai ya kware wajen tinkarar rashin tabbas da kalubale. Sashin yana murmurewa a hankali daga COVID-19 kuma akwai dalilin fata. Duk da haka, yawon shakatawa na Turai dole ne ya ci gaba da wannan ƙarfin a duk tsawon shekara yayin da Turai ke ci gaba da tuntuɓar babban rikici daga rikicin Russo-Ukrain da ke gudana. ETC ta yi kira ga cibiyoyin EU da su ci gaba da ba da isassun taimakon kudi da kuma sauran tallafi ga fannin, musamman ga wuraren da suka dogara da yawon bude ido daga Rasha da Ukraine."

Tasirin COVID-19 yana raguwa

Matafiya na duniya suna nuna sun fi son tafiya da ziyartar Turai. Kasashe da yawa, kamar Spain, Faransa, da Italiya, sun cire buƙatun gwajin COVID kafin tafiya, sharadi kan matsayin rigakafin. Sakamakon waɗannan ayyukan, ana hasashen Yammacin Turai za su kasance yanki mafi kyawun aiki a duniya a wannan shekara, kodayake 24% ƙasa da matakan 2019.

Mafi kyawun wasan kwaikwayo shine Amurka don duk kasuwannin tushen dogon zango. Matsakaicin ci gaban shekara-shekara daga Amurka zuwa Turai ana tsammanin zai zama 33.6% a cikin shekaru 5 na 2021-2026, tare da haɓaka mafi sauri a Arewacin Turai (+41.5%). Gabaɗaya, ya kasance yanayin cewa sama da 2022 balaguron balaguro tsakanin Amurka da Turai zai kasance ɗaya daga cikin manyan abubuwan da ke haifar da farfadowar ɓangaren balaguron Turai.

A halin da ake ciki kasar Sin, wadda ta fi kowacce kasa yawan kudin tafiye tafiye a doron kasa, ba a samu alamun masu zuwa yawon bude ido na kasar Sin na komawa matakan da suka kamata kafin barkewar cutar ba, yayin da kasar ke fama da barkewar cutar Omicron a Shanghai da sauran manyan biranen kasar. Hukumomi sun sake sanya tsauraran matakan kulle-kulle da gwaji na tilas don dakile yaduwar cutar, kuma sama da kashi 50% na wuraren da aka ba da rahoton sun samu raguwar sama da kashi 90% na masu zuwa yawon bude ido na kasar Sin idan aka kwatanta da shekarar 2019.

Tasirin mamayar Ukraine da Rasha ta yi

Kamar yadda aka zata, da mamayewar da Rasha ta yi a Ukraine ana hasashen zai kawo raguwar tafiye tafiye zuwa kasashen biyu, haka kuma, kasashen da ke kusa da su ma za su fuskanci mummunan tasirin wannan rikici na makiya. Saboda wannan, an mayar da murmurewa ta Gabashin Turai zuwa 2025, tare da masu zuwa yanzu ana hasashen zai zama ƙasa da kashi 43% a cikin 2022 idan aka kwatanta da 2019.

Ana sa ran cewa Cyprus, Montenegro, Latvia, Finland, Estonia, da Lithuania, za su kasance mafi tasiri da mamayewa, saboda a nan ne Rashawa suka kasance a kalla 10% na yawan tafiye-tafiyen shiga cikin 2019. Har ila yau, masu yawon bude ido na Rasha suna yawanci. masu kashe kudade masu yawa a lokacin da suke tafiya, don haka kashe kudaden da suke kashewa daga shimfidar wuri zai yi tasiri sosai kan kashe kudaden yawon bude ido. A cikin 2019, kashe kuɗin Rasha ya ba da gudummawar kashi 34% na jimlar kashe kuɗi a Montenegro, 25% a Cyprus da 16% a Latvia.

Ana yin tasiri kan haɗin kai ta iska tsakanin Turai da Asiya saboda rufe sararin samaniyar Rasha, Ukraine, Moldova, da Belarus zuwa galibin masu jigilar kayayyaki na yammacin Turai. Dangane da bala'in balaguron balaguron balaguron balaguron balaguron balaguron bala'in da ke faruwa tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine yana shafar tattalin arzikin kasar tare da sanyawa Rasha takunkumin da ya sa farashin man jiragen sama ya tashi wanda a dabi'ance zai shafi zirga-zirgar jiragen sama.

A cikin wani bincike na baya-bayan nan da MMGY Travel Intelligence ta gudanar, kashi 62% na matafiya na Amurka da ke shirin ziyartar Turai sun bayyana damuwa game da yakin Ukraine da ke yaduwa zuwa kasashe da ke kusa a matsayin wani abu mai tasiri da tsare-tsare. Wannan damuwar ta ninka yawan damuwa kan COVID-19.