Rashin lahani na JAL zai lalata wanzuwar Oneworld

HONG KONG – Yaki na kara kunno kai kan fafutukar da ke tsakanin kamfanin jiragen sama na Japan na Japan tsakanin kawancen Oneworld da SkyTeam, sabon yunkuri na tabbatar da kamfanonin jiragen sama biyo bayan fadada hannun jarin kamfanin Air China Ltd a Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd. da kuma kulla alaka tsakanin British Airways PLC Iberia Lineas Aereas de Espana SA.

Amma Oneworld - mafi ƙanƙanta daga cikin manyan rukunin kamfanonin jiragen sama uku na duniya - da alama yana cikin yanayin asara.

Tsayar da Jirgin saman Japan (JAL) a cikin jirgin yana da haɗari na lalata ma'auni na AMR Corp.'s (AMR) American Airlines, babban memba na Oneworld ta ƙimar kasuwancin, idan ya ɗauki hannun jari a JAL.

Rasa JAL zai keɓe kuɗin Amurka, amma mai yuwuwa ta hanyar asarar babban mai samar da kudaden shiga na biyu na Oneworld da barin babban rami a cikin yankin Asiya na Oneworld - yanki mafi girma don tafiye-tafiye ta jirgin sama.

Tabbas, tare da dala biliyan 2.8 a tsabar kuɗi da saka hannun jari na ɗan gajeren lokaci a hannu har zuwa ƙarshen Yuni 2009 Ba'amurke na iya yin lalata da Y30-50 biliyan JAL da aka yi imanin zai kasance mai ɗaukar nauyi.

Amma matsayi na dogon lokaci na kamfanin jiragen sama na American Airlines ya fi na JAL muni. Jimlar bashi zuwa jimlar babban birnin Amurka shine 203% da 142% a matakin iyaye AMR Corp., mafi girma ga manyan dillalai da ke aiki a ƙarƙashin tutar Oneworld. Kuma Ba-Amurke ba shi da kuɗi da yawa: ya zana dala miliyan 255 a cikin watan Satumba na 2008 kuma ya ƙone ta hanyar tsabar kuɗi dala biliyan 2.2 da saka hannun jari na ɗan gajeren lokaci a cikin takardar ma'auni a cikin watanni 12 na ƙarshe.

A Delta Air Lines Inc., sauran masu saka hannun jari na JAL, jimlar bashi zuwa jimillar babban birnin, ko da yake ba mai ban mamaki ba ne, yana da ƙasa sosai a kashi 94%. Delta kuma tana da tsabar kuɗi dala biliyan 4.9 da saka hannun jari na ɗan gajeren lokaci don buga a ƙarshen Yuni, juzu'in dalar Amurka miliyan 500 (ko da yake za a sake tattaunawa a wani lokaci a cikin 2010), kuma ba a sake dawo da haɗin gwiwa ba har zuwa 2012.

Idan wani memba na SkyTeam Air France-KLM zai shiga tare da tayin hadin gwiwa to nauyin Delta ya kara dagulewa.

Idan aka yi la’akari da halin da ake ciki, wataƙila Ba’amurke zai gwammace kada ya kashe dala miliyan 300-500 a JAL. Koyaya, haɗarin shine jeri biliyan Y50 a farashin kasuwa na yanzu zai ba Delta hannun jari na 11.2% a cikin kamfanin jirgin saman Japan kuma ya juya sukurori akan shi don tsalle jirgi ya shiga Skyteam.

Tabbas, kayan SkyTeam suna ɗaukar hannun jarin JAL baya hana shi zama a sansanin Oneworld. Air China yana jin kunyar kashi 30% na Cathay, duk da haka memba ne na Star Alliance yayin da Cathay ke zaune tare da Oneworld.

Sai dai mahukuntan birnin Tokyo sun yi ta kokawa game da hikimar daurin danyen mai a Delta tun watan Agusta, kuma a yanzu 'yan siyasa sun hade da su. Ganin matsayin dillali na jama'a wanda zai iya haifar da damuwa tsakanin 'yan Duniya ɗaya.

Tawagar JAL, wadda ta shiga Oneworld a watan Afrilun 2007, za ta wargaza haɗin gwiwar masu samar da kudaden shiga na biyu. Oneworld ta yi kiyasin cewa kashi biyu bisa uku na kudaden shiga a cikin shekaru goma na wanzuwarta da ba a samar da kungiyar ba (http://www.oneworld.com/ow/news/details?objectID=16588).

Alas, Oneworld kuma yana da mafi ƙasƙanci a Gabas mai Nisa. Bar JAL, dangin na iya da'awar Cathay kawai, kuma - a tsayi - Qantas Airways Ltd. a matsayin masu jigilar kayayyaki na Asiya.

SkyTeam yana da China Southern Airlines Co. da Korean Air Co. (003490.SE), da Northwest Airlines Corp., wanda za a naɗe zuwa Delta, ya riga ya yi amfani da filin jirgin saman Narita na Tokyo a matsayin cibiyar Asiya.

Star Alliance yana da Singapore Airlines Ltd., All Nippon Airways Co., Asiana Airlines Inc. (020560.KQ) da Thai Airways International PCL da sauransu.

Dukkanin Oneworld da SkyTeam suna zawarcin China Eastern Airlines Corp.

Dukansu sansanonin da masu ba su shawara na iya so su tayar da kayar baya ga ɗaya daga cikin ƴan ragowar jiragen ruwan Asiya da ke zaune a wajen haɗin gwiwar kamfanonin jiragen sama na duniya.

Ganin abin da ke kan gungumen azaba ga Amurkawa da Oneworld suna buƙatar duk fara'a da kuɗin da za su iya samu.