Matsakaicin farashin Jirgin sama yana tashi cikin sauri a watan Nuwamba & rabin farkon Disamba

Kusa da ƙarshen 2020, duniya ta sake duban shekarar da babu irinta a cikin yawancin tunanin mutane. Jirgin sama ba banda bane: abubuwan da aka saba da su, waɗanda aka kafa a cikin shekaru da yawa, ba su da jagora kwata-kwata don ainihin abin da ya faru. Latarfafawa, duka a cikin juzu'i da ƙima, ya zama tsari na yau da kullun a kasuwanni da yawa a cikin 2020.

Nuwamba ya ga raguwar ƙimar duniya 12.6% shekara-shekara (YoY), raguwar kashi wanda ya fi ƙasa da ƙasa ya zama al'ada a rabi na biyu na 2020. Wannan an haɗa shi da ƙarfi mai ƙarfi na YoY / haɓakar amfanin gona (a cikin USD ) tun watannin mahaukatan watannin Afrilu da Mayu: + 79% YoY, an sami ƙaruwa sosai fiye da na watannin baya. Amfani / ƙima a watan Nuwamba yawanci kusan 4% sama da waɗanda ke cikin Oktoba; a wannan shekara an sami ƙaruwa 11.2%, daga USD 2.97 zuwa USD 3.30 (ƙarar ta ragu da 2% MoM). Mun riga mun ba da rahoto game da wannan yanayin a cikin sabuntawarmu na mako-mako.

Asiya Pacific ita ce kawai asalin yankin da ke haɓaka kasuwancin jigilar kaya tsakanin Oktoba zuwa Nuwamba (ta 3.2%). Abin lura, yawan amfanin ƙasa / ƙima daga Afirka da MESA (Gabas ta Tsakiya da Kudancin Asiya) sun bar MoM. Ba abin mamaki bane, idan aka ba da manyan umarni na 'kayan PPE', kayan da aka kawo sama da 5000 kgs sun haɓaka YoY, yayin da duk ƙaramin nauyin nauyi ya ɓace tsakanin 16% da 29% YoY. Mafi ƙarancin ƙididdigar Nuwamba wannan shine: jigilar mutane ta iska ta ragowar mutum ya girma da 8% YoY…

Gabaɗaya ƙarfin ya tashi da 1% daga Oktoba zuwa Nuwamba: frearfin dakon kaya ya ragu da 1% MoM, yayin da yawan kayan jigilar fasinjoji ya tashi da 3%. Abubuwan da aka loda akan jirgin fasinja ya ƙaru da 1% -point, kuma akan jirgi mai jigilar kaya ya ragu (ƙaramin digo na 1%).

Kiran kasuwar jigilar kaya da zafi, tabbas zai zama rashin faɗi na shekara. Abubuwan da aka saba da su a zamanin pre-COVID suna da kamar sun zama kawai abubuwan tunawa. Dubi yawan amfanin Nuwamba / ƙimar wasu manyan kasuwanni a duniya:

- Matsakaici mafi girma: Hong Kong zuwa Amurka Tsakiyar yamma: USD 6.88 / kg
- Yara girma mafi girma na YY: Kingdomasar Ingila zuwa Amurka Arewa maso Gabas: + 289%
- Mafi girman canji cikakke YoY: China Gabas zuwa Amurka Tsakiyar yamma: + USD 3.43
- Canji mafi girma a cikin shekara zuwa Oktoba 2020: Koriya ta Kudu zuwa Jamus: + 58%.

Tare da dukkan canje-canje a wannan shekara, abu ɗaya da wuya ya canza shi ne tsarin zirga-zirgar jiragen sama. A matsayin kaso na jimillar kasuwancin su, zirga-zirgar da ta samo asali daga, ko kuma aka nufa don, tushen gidajen su, kawai ya tashi daga 40% zuwa 39% tun Nuwamba Nuwamba 2019. Kamfanonin jirgin sama da ke Asiya Pacific sun ci gaba da ci mafi girma a kan “masu-gida / gida- ɗaure "kundin (canzawa daga 56% zuwa 58%), yayin da kamfanonin jiragen sama da ke MESA suka ƙara inganta matsayin su na" zakarun zirga-zirgar ƙasashe na uku "(daga 28% zuwa 25%).

Makomar asalin kowane yanki-3 na asali a cikin 2020 da wuya ya kasance ya bambanta. Daga cikin biranen 18 da muka duba, uku sun haɓaka kasuwancinsu duk da mawuyacin yanayin duniya: Shanghai, Bogota da Santiago de Chile. Sauran 15 sun rasa kasuwanci, amma a matakan daban. Ga birane kamar Alkahira, London da Mumbai, tabbas ya zama abin firgita ga tsarin su ganin cewa kasuwancin da ya samo asali daga gare su ya ragu sosai fiye da matsakaiciyar duniya na 16% (Jan-Nuwamba 2020). Amma a cikin wannan shekara da ba a saba gani ba, sauye-sauyen murya kusan ƙananan ƙananan labarin ne. Dauki batun Chicago: Kasuwancin fitarwa ya ragu da 9% (Jan-Nov YoY), amma ya samar da ƙarin kashi 10% na kamfanonin jiragen sama. A lokaci guda, kuɗaɗen jirgin sama daga zirga-zirgar shigowa zuwa Chicago ya ƙaru da kashi 92% YoY mai ban mamaki. Shin abubuwa na iya samun baƙo?

Lastarshe, amma ba mafi ƙaranci ba, ƙididdigar farko na farkon rabin Disamba. Volumearar duniya duka ta kasance 2% mafi girma idan aka kwatanta da farkon rabin Nuwamba, yana nuna mafi kyawun MoM fiye da yanayin daga Oktoba zuwa Nuwamba. Yankunan da suka fi girma girma sune Afirka (+ 21%) da Central & South America (+ 8%). Factorsananan abubuwa suna nuna daidaito, kodayake ƙarami, ƙaruwa tun farkon Nuwamba. Matsakaicin yawan amfanin ƙasa / ƙima (a kowace kilogiram) ya kai matakin dala 3.32 a sati na biyu na Disamba, anin tsabar biyu sama da matsakaicin Nuwamba.