Daya daga cikin manyan cibiyoyin hada-hadar kudi na duniya, Deutsche Bank AG - wani bankin zuba jari na kasa da kasa da kuma kamfanin hada-hadar kudi na kasar Jamus da ke da hedikwata a birnin Frankfurt na kasar Jamus, ya ba da gargadi game da yuwuwar tabarbarewar rikicin amincewar dalar Amurka.
Gargadin na Deutsche Bank na zuwa ne biyo bayan ayyana wasu manyan harajin kwastam da shugaban Amurka Donald Trump ya yi, wanda ya kawo rashin kwanciyar hankali a kasuwannin hada-hadar kudi da kuma kara nuna damuwa kan yiwuwar yakin cinikayya a duniya.
A cikin wata sanarwa da ya yi da abokan huldar bankin, George Saravelos, shugaban kula da harkokin musayar kudaden waje na duniya a cibiyar hada-hadar kudi ta Jamus, ya yi nuni da cewa, sauye-sauyen da ake samu kan kudaden shiga na iya haifar da rashin kwanciyar hankali a kasuwannin hada-hadar kudi.
A wannan makon, dalar Amurka ta sami raguwa sosai, tana raguwa da sama da 1.5% akan duka Yuro da yen Jafan, kuma sama da 1% akan fam na Burtaniya. Wannan raguwar ta biyo bayan sanarwar da Shugaba Trump ya yi na harajin kwastam, wanda zai kasance daga kashi 10% zuwa 50% kan kayayyaki da dama daga kasashe da dama. Damuwar da ke kara ta'azzara game da yuwuwar yakin ciniki a duniya ya sa masu zuba jari su koma ga kadarori masu aminci.
"Sakon mu gaba ɗaya shine cewa akwai haɗarin cewa manyan sauye-sauye a cikin rabon kuɗin da ake samu daga manyan kuɗin kuɗi da kuma cewa FX motsi ya zama mara kyau," in ji Mista Saravelos.
Saravelos ya yi gargadin cewa ci gaba da raguwar dogaro da dala na iya haifar da gagarumin sakamako, musamman ga kasashen da ke amfani da kudin Euro, da haifar da matsaloli ga babban bankin Turai (ECB).
"Abu na karshe da ECB ke so shi ne tashin hankali da aka sanya daga waje daga asarar amincewar dala da kuma karin daraja a cikin Yuro a kan jadawalin kuɗin fito," in ji jami'in Deutsche Bank.
Babban bankin Turai (ECB) ya bayyana fargabar cewa matakan cinikayya da Amurka ke aiwatarwa na iya kawo cikas ga hadin gwiwar tattalin arzikin duniya, da kawo cikas ga hasashen hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, da kuma sanya gyare-gyare kan manufofin kudi.
Tasirin jadawalin kuɗin fito ya kasance nan da nan. Kasuwannin hannayen jari na duniya sun samu koma baya sosai, farashin man fetur ya fadi, da kuma raguwar kudaden alawus-alawus yayin da masu zuba jari ke shirin samun koma baya a ci gaban tattalin arziki. Akasin haka, kadarorin da aka yi la’akari da su a matsayin mafaka mai aminci—kamar zinari, bunds na Jamus, da kuma fran Swiss—sun ga karuwar buƙatu.
Sauran cibiyoyin hada-hadar kudi, ciki har da JPMorgan da Fitch, sun ba da sanarwar kwatankwacin hakan, suna hasashen cewa harajin na iya haifar da raguwar ci gaban GDP na Amurka da kusan kashi 1.5 cikin XNUMX kuma maiyuwa tura wasu manyan tattalin arziki cikin koma bayan tattalin arziki.
